「釋義」

PMI是一項全面的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)，概括了美國整體制造業(yè)狀況、就業(yè)及物價表現(xiàn)，是全球最受關(guān)注的經(jīng)濟(jì)資料之一。

采購經(jīng)理人指數(shù)是衡量美國制造業(yè)的“體檢表”,是衡量制造業(yè)在生產(chǎn)、新訂單、商品價格、存貨、 雇員、訂單交貨、新出口訂單和進(jìn)口等八個方面狀況的指數(shù)，是經(jīng)濟(jì)先行指標(biāo)中一項非常重要的附屬指標(biāo)。

「應(yīng)用場景」

研究人員一直在尋求確定一些能夠顯示經(jīng)濟(jì)變化早期信號的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)。? ?在這些指標(biāo)中，衡量消費(fèi)者態(tài)度和情緒的消費(fèi)者信心指數(shù)和衡量投資者態(tài)度和信心的股票價格指數(shù)已經(jīng)受到了廣泛的調(diào)查。? 關(guān)于這兩個指數(shù)對經(jīng)濟(jì)活動水平的影響及其潛在的預(yù)測能力的調(diào)查，仍然是文獻(xiàn)中持續(xù)關(guān)注的一個領(lǐng)域。采購經(jīng)理人指數(shù)（PMI）被工業(yè)化經(jīng)濟(jì)體用來評估企業(yè)的信心，它被廣泛認(rèn)為是制造業(yè)和整體經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的主要領(lǐng)先指標(biāo)，但據(jù)我們所知，它沒有像其他兩個指數(shù)那樣受到任何正式調(diào)查。

Researchers have been in search of identifying some economic indicators that can show early signals of changes? in? the? economy.? ? Among? these? indicators? consumer? confidence? index,? which? measures consumers’ attitudes and sentiment, and stock price index, which measures investors’ attitudes and confidence, have? been? subject to extensive investigations.? ?The? investigations of the? impact of? these? two? indexes on the level of economic activity and their potential forecasting abilities have still been an area of continued interests in the? literature.? ? The? Purchasing? Manager’s? Index? (PMI),? is? used? by? industrialized? economies? to? assess? businesses confidence, which is viewed widely as a major leading indicator of both manufacturing and overall economic growth, has not been subject to our knowledge to any formal investigations as the other two have.

? ? ? ? ? ? ??

以上文字選自

Stock Return, Consumer Confidence, PurchasingManager’s Index And Economic Fluctuations

塔穆爾·阿夫沙爾（Tahmoures Afshar）|?文

馬冰侖?丨編輯?